- Russia is "reinforcing failure and repeating mistakes" in Ukraine, UK officials said Monday.
- They estimate a high death toll that outstripped the 9-year Soviet-Afghan war in just a few months.
- They blamed "a lack of flexibility" from the top.
Russia is suffering a higher death toll because its military leaders "reinforce failure and repeat mistakes", UK intelligence said Monday.
Officials did not name who was behind the strategy, but the statement followed reports that President Vladimir Putin has been meddling in low-level decisions.
Experts told Insider that a national leader trying to make tactical decisions was likely to lead to big mistakes and get people killed, an argument echoed by the UK update.
—Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) May 23, 2022
The UK officials estimated that Russia had in around three months already lost more lives than in the Soviet Union's disastrous nine-year invasion of Afghanistan.
During the Cold War-era conflict, which began in December 1979, around 15,000 Soviet soldiers were killed and about 35,000 were wounded.
The MoD said the high casualty rate in Ukraine was down to a "combination of poor low-level tactics, limited air cover, a lack of flexibility, and a command approach which is prepared to reinforce failure and repeat mistakes".
Recent reports have suggested that Putin is playing a significant role in determining troop movements in the Donbas region where Russia's invasion is now concentrated.
Forces there have suffered several setbacks in the last week following multiple failed attempts to cross a strategic river.
There is a precedent for such intervention, according to Simon Miles, an assistant professor at Duke University's Sanford School of Public Policy and a historian of the Soviet Union and US-Soviet relations.
"Having top-level people get involved at the tactical level is not out of the ordinary in how the Russian military fights," Miles told Insider. "Whereas it is (and is pejoratively referred to as 'micromanaging') in the US context."
The UK update warned that the scale of losses on Russia's side could harm Putin politically.
The update said: "The Russian public has, in the past, proven sensitive to casualties suffered during wars of choice. As casualties suffered in Ukraine continue to rise they will become more apparent, and public dissatisfaction with the war and a willingness to voice it may grow."
